Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 10.250174 11.706032 13.302730 15.185103 17.345326 19.748926 22.629084
2025-12-21 8.144170 10.016488 12.231404 15.049637 18.547442 22.755585 28.217233
2025-12-28 7.201281 9.335199 11.999209 15.578959 20.279137 26.261808 34.489902
2026-01-04 6.473034 8.761427 11.747582 15.945136 21.719572 29.422369 40.541572
2026-01-11 5.964584 8.382294 11.661246 16.455573 23.326263 32.877174 47.266130
2026-01-18 5.274050 7.659710 11.006460 16.072415 23.598896 34.449758 51.428675
2026-01-25 4.736990 7.088956 10.491750 15.808324 23.972525 36.143545 55.865125
2026-02-01 4.287055 6.595194 10.030907 15.558495 24.310680 37.770340 60.301097
2026-02-08 3.898719 6.153754 9.600475 15.299456 24.585117 39.287329 64.661674
2026-02-15 3.561463 5.758379 9.200741 15.040760 24.816442 40.726133 68.990114
2026-02-22 3.450553 5.713141 9.346475 15.669352 26.540243 44.722375 77.967030
2026-03-01 3.272584 5.539974 9.265485 15.905134 27.610744 47.698166 85.436335
2026-03-08 3.057531 5.289347 9.039609 15.881355 28.244170 50.001968 91.985961
2026-03-15 2.842929 5.021116 8.760716 15.737579 28.646493 51.924155 98.013954
2026-03-22 2.760930 4.978623 8.868921 16.292135 30.357911 56.350384 109.173140
2026-03-29 2.658668 4.890088 8.885721 16.675724 31.776898 60.345694 119.875118
2026-04-05 2.585099 4.847524 8.980774 17.210465 33.524347 65.106716 132.554693
2026-04-12 2.392142 4.564717 8.606517 16.809061 33.402070 66.204488 137.844989
2026-04-19 2.232018 4.332293 8.309384 16.532404 33.499993 67.738101 144.176420
2026-04-26 2.087240 4.118644 8.031920 16.270694 33.601708 69.278534 150.655150
2026-05-03 1.953229 3.916234 7.761154 15.999345 33.656744 70.718425 157.038616
2026-05-10 1.829946 3.726314 7.501152 15.728363 33.686592 72.100020 163.412046
2026-05-17 1.811090 3.749321 7.674516 16.386822 35.778421 78.107684 180.954661